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<title>	What's left of Tropical Storm Harvey has a 'high' chance to organize | 						NOLA.com</title>


	
	

	
	
	
	
																														
	

	
																														

	
		
	
	
	

	
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                <h1 id="articleHeadline" class="p-name">What's left of Tropical Storm Harvey has a 'high' chance to organize</h1>
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                            <time id="dateline__updated" class="dateline__updated" datetime="2017-08-20T14:17" aria-label="Article Updated Date and Time">Updated on August 20, 2017 at  2:17 PM</time>
                        <time id="dateline__published" class="dateline__published" datetime="2017-08-20T13:44" aria-label="Article Published Date and Time">Posted on August 20, 2017 at  1:44 PM</time>
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                The National Hurricane Center is now predicting unorganized storms that were once part of Tropical Storm Harvey have a 70 percent chance of organizing later this week.  </span></div><figcaption class="mmm__caption" id="mmm__caption">The National Hurricane Center is now predicting unorganized storms that were once part of Tropical Storm Harvey have a 70 percent chance of organizing later this week.  
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        <p>Showers and thunderstorms left over from&nbsp;<a href="http://www.nola.com/hurricane/">Tropical Storm Harvey</a> could be pulling back together, forecasters with the <a href="http://topics.nola.com/tag/national%20hurricane%20center/">National Hurricane Center</a> said in their 1 p.m Sunday (Aug. 20) update. It's not clear yet whether there's any defined circulation, but the center has increased the probability that it will reform as a tropical cyclone this week to 70 percent (high) -- up from 60 percent (medium) in its morning update.</p>
<p>An Air Force Reserves reconnaissance plane is on its way to the Caribbean Sea to get a better look at the system, but satellite photos "are showing some signs of organization," the National Hurricane Center said.</p>
<p>"...It could become a tropical cyclone once again while it moves west-northwestward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next couple of days, and into the Bay of Campeche by midweek," the forecast said.</p>
<p>There is a 50 percent chance the formation will happen within the next 48 hours, according to the NHC. Areas that need to keep track of the system include northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula.</p>
<p><a href=" http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2017/07/tropical_storm_harvey_5-day_tra.html" data-enhanced="small"></a></p>
<p>The hurricane center is tracking two other systems in the Atlantic, one of which has been given a slightly better but not strong chance of organizing further.</p>
<p>A trough of low pressure a couple of hundred miles north of the Dominican Republic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, with some strong winds on its northeast side. Environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for development of this system during the next day or two, but they could improve by midweek when the system is near the northwestern Bahamas or Florida.</p>
<p>The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 mph to 20 mph during the next few days. Its chance for formation in the next 48 hours is 10 percent (low) and increases slightly to 30 percent (low) over the next five days. The long-term development outlook was 20 percent Sunday morning.</p>
<p>Another large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms is about 900 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Its part of a trough of low pressure that's embedded in a dry air mass. Upper-level winds are expected to limit its development in the next couple of days as it moves northwestward at about 15 mph. It has a 10 percent chance of development over the next five days.</p>
<div id="asset-23260106" class="entry_widget_full entry_widget_"><span class="adv-photo-full"><a href="http://media.nola.com/hurricane_impact/photo/204351_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png" target="_blank" class="full-size-popup"><img src="/static/common/img/blank.gif" class="lazy adv-photo" data-position="article-full" data-original="http://media.nola.com/hurricane_impact/photo/23260106-standard.png" alt="204351_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png"></a><span class="photo-data"><span class="caption">(National Hurricane Center)</span></span></span></div>
        
        
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