<!DOCTYPE html><html lang="en"><head><meta charset="utf-8"/><meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"/><title>Our Many Fears of Hurricane Harvey | The New Yorker</title><meta name="msapplication-tap-highlight" content="no"/><meta name="viewport" content="user-scalable=no,width=device-width,initial-scale=1,maximum-scale=1"/><link rel="canonical" href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/our-many-fears-of-hurricane-harvey"/><link rel="shortcut icon" type="image/x-icon" href="/favicon.ico"/><meta name="id" content="59a1adb521aafe4de666d93b"/><script>(function(d)
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class="SiteHeader__title___aZr3Q" data-reactid="82"></p></div></div><section class="PageContainer__pageContent___1xERg PageContainer__article___136yK" data-reactid="83"><!-- react-empty: 84 --><article class="Layout__layoutContainer___2gtig" data-reactid="85"><header data-reactid="86"><div class="ArticleHeader__articleHeader___1G7-9  ArticleHeader__default___1GpE3" data-reactid="87"><div class="ArticleHeader__headerRow___nDCwd" data-reactid="88"><div class="ArticleHeader__rubricAndIssue___1YUtt" data-reactid="89"><div class="ArticleHeader__rubric___3YLRT" data-reactid="90"><a class="Link__link___3dWao Rubric__rubric___3hrQE  " href="/news/news-desk" title="News Desk" data-reactid="91"><!-- react-text: 92 -->News Desk<!-- /react-text --></a></div></div><h1 class="ArticleHeader__hed___GPB7e" data-reactid="93">Our Many Fears of Hurricane Harvey</h1><!-- react-text: 94 --><!-- /react-text --><div class="ArticleHeader__metaInfo___1aBON" data-reactid="95"><div class="ArticleContributors__byline___3-luq" data-reactid="96"><div class="ArticleContributors__contributorWrapper___1CrIJ" data-reactid="97"><div class="Avatar__avatar___1_uRc ArticleContributors__bylineAvatar___2-BV0" data-reactid="98"><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " href="/contributors/benjamin-wallace-wells" data-reactid="99"><div class="Image__image___1PhYl" role="false" tabindex="false" data-reactid="100"><picture class="component-responsive-image" data-reactid="101"><source srcset="https://media.newyorker.com/photos/59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3/1:1/w_48,c_limit/wallace-wells-benjamin.png, https://media.newyorker.com/photos/59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3/1:1/w_96,c_limit/wallace-wells-benjamin.png 2x" data-reactid="102"/><img alt="" src="https://media.newyorker.com/photos/59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3/1:1/w_48,c_limit/wallace-wells-benjamin.png" title="" data-reactid="103"/></picture></div></a></div><div class="Byline__articleHeader___13Q7D  " data-reactid="104"><p class="Byline__by___37lv8" data-reactid="105"><!-- react-text: 106 -->By <!-- /react-text --><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " title="Benjamin Wallace-Wells" rel="author" href="/contributors/benjamin-wallace-wells" data-reactid="107"><!-- react-text: 108 -->Benjamin Wallace-Wells<!-- /react-text --></a></p><p class="ArticleTimestamp__timestamp___1klks " data-reactid="109">August 26, 2017</p></div></div></div><ul class="ArticleSocial__socialShare___2Skji ArticleSocial__header___1huCC" data-reactid="110"><li data-track-type="socialShare" data-track-location="default" data-source="facebook" class="SocialShareItem__icon___3QQZ0 SocialShareItem__facebook___15Vks " data-reactid="111"><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.newyorker.com%2Fnews%2Fnews-desk%2Four-many-fears-of-hurricane-harvey&amp;display=popup&amp;ref=plugin" data-reactid="112"><div class="Link__content___6CYL1" data-reactid="113"><i class="Link__icon___3s7us Link__left___1QLUQ " 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data-reactid="148"><div data-reactid="149"><p data-reactid="150"><!-- react-text: 151 -->Jennifer Bryant looks over the debris from her family business destroyed by Hurricane Harvey on Saturday, in Katy, Texas.<!-- /react-text --></p></div></span><small class="ImageCaption__credit___rg3mC " data-reactid="152">Photograph by David J. Phillip / AP</small></figcaption></figure></div></div></div><div id="articleBody" data-template="two-column" class="ArticleBody__articleBody___1GSGP" data-reactid="153"><div data-reactid="154"><div data-reactid="155"><div class="SectionBreak__sectionBreak___1ppA7" data-reactid="156"></div><div class="SectionBreak__sectionBreak___1ppA7" data-reactid="157"><p data-reactid="158"><!-- react-text: 159 -->Hurricane <!-- /react-text --><span data-page="page_1" data-reactid="160"></span><!-- react-text: 161 -->Harvey came ashore overnight, near Rockport, Texas, with
enough force that it caved in the high school there. For days before,
the storm’s dimensions, and its menace, were visible from space, a thick
white swirl around a geometrically intact circle—the eye. In the hours
before the storm made landfall, the images on the news were of long
lines of cars streaming away from the Texas coast, and absolutely no one
moving toward it. The city of Corpus Christi, worrying about the fouling
of its water system, advised all its residents to boil their water
before drinking. This morning, the <!-- /react-text --><em data-reactid="162"><!-- react-text: 163 -->Times<!-- /react-text --></em><!-- react-text: 164 --> correspondent Manny Fernandez
<!-- /react-text --><a href="https://twitter.com/mannynyt?lang=en" target="_blank" class="ArticleBody__link___1FS03" data-reactid="165"><!-- react-text: 166 -->tweeted images<!-- /react-text --></a><!-- react-text: 167 --> of a large body
of water a few miles outside of town. “It looks like a lake, but it’s
actually a rural field,” Fernandez wrote. Nearby, a few bewildered
longhorns ambled through water up to their knees.<!-- /react-text --></p><p data-reactid="168"><!-- react-text: 169 -->It is storm season again on the Gulf Coast. For the decade since
Hurricane Katrina, these weeks have been accompanied by the tired
partisan debate over climate change—of whether the ways in which human
beings have altered the environment are responsible for a particular
storm. These are complicated calculations, but scientists have gotten
better at them, and the mystery is diminishing. After last summer’s
devastating floods in Baton Rouge, climatologists estimated that the
changing environment had probably doubled the likelihood that a
calamitous storm would strike in a particular year.<!-- /react-text --></p><p data-reactid="170"><!-- react-text: 171 -->Climate-change estimates are sharpening, too, and growing more severe.
In 2013, the International Panel for Climate Change predicted that sea
levels would rise somewhere between a foot and a metre over the next
hundred years, depending on how aggressive we were in forestalling
climate change. In the last four years, as the great ice sheets at the
poles have come to seem less stable, the estimates have escalated. “The
uncertainties are all biased positive,” the glaciologist William Colgan
pointed out this spring in the introduction to a major study. It is easy
to imagine how things could turn worse than the I.P.C.C. suggested,
Colgan was saying, but hard to see how they could turn out better.
Rising seas mean more frequent storm surges, and the Gulf Coast of Texas
today and Sunday will be a giant meteorological laboratory for
potentially record, and cataclysmic, flooding. The state of Louisiana,
in revamping its master plan this year, recommended that the government
simply pay twenty thousand coastal homeowners to abandon their houses
and move, because protecting them would be prohibitive.<!-- /react-text --></p><p data-reactid="172"><!-- react-text: 173 -->But if we now know more about how the climate will behave, we know less
about how humans will react. The experience of frequent storms is one of
incredible stress. With Katrina, the story was about racial inequities,
of who is left to live in the lowest and most vulnerable places, and
why. But in the hurricanes that have battered the western Gulf in the
decade since—Rita, and Gustav, and Isaac, and Ike—race has been a lesser
part of the story, and universal vulnerability a much greater one.<!-- /react-text --></p><p data-reactid="174"><!-- react-text: 175 -->The storms are so vast and so sublime; everyone is at risk. During the
great Louisiana floods of last August, when an unexpected storm surged
along the Amite River, flooding a hundred and fifty thousand homes and
leaving emergency services overwhelmed, rescue in many places depended
upon the volunteer boaters of the “<!-- /react-text --><a href="http://www.npr.org/2016/08/16/490173970/louisiana-flood-victims-aided-by-members-of-the-cajun-navy" target="_blank" class="ArticleBody__link___1FS03" data-reactid="176"><!-- react-text: 177 -->Cajun
Navy<!-- /react-text --></a><!-- react-text: 178 -->,”
a group that had not existed before the storm but organized over
Facebook, taking SOS calls and dispatching private boaters to pull
stranded people off rooftops and ferry them to shelter. In that storm,
in Livingston Parish, gauges recorded seventeen inches of rain in the
first twenty-four hours. The totals in Texas are now around sixteen
inches, and rising.<!-- /react-text --></p><p data-reactid="179"><!-- react-text: 180 -->There is now, too, a double anxiety that greets storms like this. There
is the fear about the damage done by wind and rain. And then there is a
fear, made stark by the memory of Katrina, about how we will treat
each other. In Corpus Christi overnight, someone shot someone else in
the head, believing their home under invasion. In nearby Rockport, the
<!-- /react-text --><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/2017/live-updates/weather/hurricane-harvey-updates-preparation-evacuations-forecast-storm-latest/reports-of-severe-damage-trickling-in-from-rockport-tex/" target="_blank" class="ArticleBody__link___1FS03" data-reactid="181"><!-- react-text: 182 -->city manager said<!-- /react-text --></a><!-- react-text: 183 --> that people were trapped inside a collapsed building, and rescuers could
not reach them. A woman called a local news station to report that her
husband and crew, in port in a sinking boat, had lashed themselves to
another, sturdier seeming vessel, and were now unaccounted for. These
circumstances are all desperate, and tense. At stake for the people in
each of them is the matter of how their community will respond, whether
it will protect them or abandon them. We don’t yet know how extreme the
damage from Hurricane Harvey will be, but we do know something about the
nature of the experience. The climate, evolving, changes the land. It
also changes the people.<!-- /react-text --></p></div></div></div></div><footer class="ArticleFooter__footer___3-wlJ" data-reactid="184"><!-- react-empty: 185 --><div class="ArticleContributors__bio___3XQjk" data-reactid="186"><div class="ArticleContributors__contributorWrapper___1CrIJ" data-reactid="187"><div class="Avatar__avatar___1_uRc ArticleContributors__bioAvatar___11Nu0" data-reactid="188"><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " href="/contributors/benjamin-wallace-wells" data-reactid="189"><div class="Image__image___1PhYl" role="false" tabindex="false" data-reactid="190"><picture class="component-responsive-image" data-reactid="191"><source srcset="https://media.newyorker.com/photos/59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3/1:1/w_130,c_limit/wallace-wells-benjamin.png, https://media.newyorker.com/photos/59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3/1:1/w_260,c_limit/wallace-wells-benjamin.png 2x" data-reactid="192"/><img alt="" src="https://media.newyorker.com/photos/59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3/1:1/w_130,c_limit/wallace-wells-benjamin.png" title="" data-reactid="193"/></picture></div></a></div><ul class="ArticleContributors__contributorBios___3_jrJ false" data-reactid="194"><li data-reactid="195"><p class="ArticleContributors__contributorBioText___3m1QB" data-reactid="196">Benjamin Wallace-Wells began contributing to <em>The New Yorker</em> in 2006, and joined the magazine as a staff writer in 2015. He writes mainly about American politics and society.</p><a class="Link__link___3dWao ArticleContributors__contributorBioLink___3ifgZ " href="/contributors/benjamin-wallace-wells" data-reactid="197"><!-- react-text: 198 -->Read more »<!-- /react-text --></a></li></ul></div></div><ul class="Tags__tags___1WDCj" data-reactid="199"><span class="Tags__heading___3sE5b" data-reactid="200">More:</span><li class="Tags__item___3xh9I" data-reactid="201"><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " href="/tag/hurricane-harvey" data-reactid="202"><!-- react-text: 203 -->Hurricane Harvey<!-- /react-text --></a></li><li class="Tags__item___3xh9I" data-reactid="204"><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " href="/tag/natural-disasters" data-reactid="205"><!-- react-text: 206 -->Natural Disasters<!-- /react-text --></a></li><li class="Tags__item___3xh9I" data-reactid="207"><a class="Link__link___3dWao  " href="/tag/federal-emergency-management-agency-fema" data-reactid="208"><!-- react-text: 209 -->Federal Emergency 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",["inline-embed",{"type":"analytics","meta":"%7B%22type%22%3A%22analytics%22%2C%22url%22%3A%221%22%2C%22width%22%3A%22%22%2C%22height%22%3A%22%22%2C%22caption%22%3A%22%22%7D","ref":""}],"Harvey came ashore overnight, near Rockport, Texas, with\nenough force that it caved in the high school there. For days before,\nthe storm’s dimensions, and its menace, were visible from space, a thick\nwhite swirl around a geometrically intact circle—the eye. In the hours\nbefore the storm made landfall, the images on the news were of long\nlines of cars streaming away from the Texas coast, and absolutely no one\nmoving toward it. The city of Corpus Christi, worrying about the fouling\nof its water system, advised all its residents to boil their water\nbefore drinking. This morning, the ",["em","Times"]," correspondent Manny Fernandez\n",["a",{"href":"https://twitter.com/mannynyt?lang=en"},"tweeted images"]," of a large body\nof water a few miles outside of town. “It looks like a lake, but it’s\nactually a rural field,” Fernandez wrote. Nearby, a few bewildered\nlonghorns ambled through water up to their knees."],["p","It is storm season again on the Gulf Coast. For the decade since\nHurricane Katrina, these weeks have been accompanied by the tired\npartisan debate over climate change—of whether the ways in which human\nbeings have altered the environment are responsible for a particular\nstorm. These are complicated calculations, but scientists have gotten\nbetter at them, and the mystery is diminishing. After last summer’s\ndevastating floods in Baton Rouge, climatologists estimated that the\nchanging environment had probably doubled the likelihood that a\ncalamitous storm would strike in a particular year."],["p","Climate-change estimates are sharpening, too, and growing more severe.\nIn 2013, the International Panel for Climate Change predicted that sea\nlevels would rise somewhere between a foot and a metre over the next\nhundred years, depending on how aggressive we were in forestalling\nclimate change. In the last four years, as the great ice sheets at the\npoles have come to seem less stable, the estimates have escalated. “The\nuncertainties are all biased positive,” the glaciologist William Colgan\npointed out this spring in the introduction to a major study. It is easy\nto imagine how things could turn worse than the I.P.C.C. suggested,\nColgan was saying, but hard to see how they could turn out better.\nRising seas mean more frequent storm surges, and the Gulf Coast of Texas\ntoday and Sunday will be a giant meteorological laboratory for\npotentially record, and cataclysmic, flooding. The state of Louisiana,\nin revamping its master plan this year, recommended that the government\nsimply pay twenty thousand coastal homeowners to abandon their houses\nand move, because protecting them would be prohibitive."],["p","But if we now know more about how the climate will behave, we know less\nabout how humans will react. The experience of frequent storms is one of\nincredible stress. With Katrina, the story was about racial inequities,\nof who is left to live in the lowest and most vulnerable places, and\nwhy. But in the hurricanes that have battered the western Gulf in the\ndecade since—Rita, and Gustav, and Isaac, and Ike—race has been a lesser\npart of the story, and universal vulnerability a much greater one."],["p","The storms are so vast and so sublime; everyone is at risk. During the\ngreat Louisiana floods of last August, when an unexpected storm surged\nalong the Amite River, flooding a hundred and fifty thousand homes and\nleaving emergency services overwhelmed, rescue in many places depended\nupon the volunteer boaters of the “",["a",{"href":"http://www.npr.org/2016/08/16/490173970/louisiana-flood-victims-aided-by-members-of-the-cajun-navy"},"Cajun\nNavy"],",”\na group that had not existed before the storm but organized over\nFacebook, taking SOS calls and dispatching private boaters to pull\nstranded people off rooftops and ferry them to shelter. In that storm,\nin Livingston Parish, gauges recorded seventeen inches of rain in the\nfirst twenty-four hours. The totals in Texas are now around sixteen\ninches, and rising."],["p","There is now, too, a double anxiety that greets storms like this. There\nis the fear about the damage done by wind and rain. And then there is a\nfear, made stark by the memory of Katrina, about how we will treat\neach other. In Corpus Christi overnight, someone shot someone else in\nthe head, believing their home under invasion. In nearby Rockport, the\n",["a",{"href":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/2017/live-updates/weather/hurricane-harvey-updates-preparation-evacuations-forecast-storm-latest/reports-of-severe-damage-trickling-in-from-rockport-tex/"},"city manager said"]," that people were trapped inside a collapsed building, and rescuers could\nnot reach them. A woman called a local news station to report that her\nhusband and crew, in port in a sinking boat, had lashed themselves to\nanother, sturdier seeming vessel, and were now unaccounted for. These\ncircumstances are all desperate, and tense. At stake for the people in\neach of them is the matter of how their community will respond, whether\nit will protect them or abandon them. We don’t yet know how extreme the\ndamage from Hurricane Harvey will be, but we do know something about the\nnature of the experience. The climate, evolving, changes the land. It\nalso changes the people."]]],"canonicalUrl":"https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/our-many-fears-of-hurricane-harvey","categories":{"sections":[{"id":"5904126172dadf5d0a508800","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[{"id":"5904126172dadf5d0a508800","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"News","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"news"},{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"name":"News","parent":[{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"},"slug":"sections"}],"photos":{},"root":{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"},"slug":"sections"},"slug":"news","children":[{"id":"590a02541c7a8e33fb390be1","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[{"id":"590a02541c7a8e33fb390be1","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"News Desk","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"news-desk"},{"id":"5904126172dadf5d0a508800","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"News","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"news"},{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"name":"News Desk","parent":[{"id":"5904126172dadf5d0a508800","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[{"id":"5904126172dadf5d0a508800","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"News","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"news"},{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"name":"News","parent":[{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"photos":{},"root":{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"},"slug":"news"}],"photos":{},"root":{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"}],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":{"id":"5902ab3b07071543e751a992","modelName":"category","collection":"categories","contributors":{},"hierarchy":[],"name":"Sections","parent":[],"photos":{},"root":[],"slug":"sections"},"slug":"sections"},"slug":"news-desk"}]}]},"channel":"","contentSource":"web","contentTags":[{"name":"Hurricane Harvey","url":"/tag/hurricane-harvey"},{"name":"Natural Disasters","url":"/tag/natural-disasters"},{"name":"Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)","url":"/tag/federal-emergency-management-agency-fema"},{"name":"Climate Change","url":"/tag/climate-change"}],"contentType":"article","contributors":[{"name":"Benjamin Wallace-Wells","type":"author","title":"Benjamin Wallace-Wells began contributing to \u003cem>The New Yorker\u003c/em> in 2006, and joined the magazine as a staff writer in 2015. He writes mainly about American politics and society.","email":"","bio":["div",["p","Benjamin Wallace-Wells began contributing to ",["em","The New Yorker"]," in 2006, and joined the magazine as a staff writer in 2015. He writes mainly about American politics and society. He has previously written for ",["em","New York"]," magazine, The New York ",["em","Times Magazine"],", and ",["em","Rolling Stone"],". His work has been collected in “The Best American Political Writing,” among other anthologies, and he is a past fellow at the New America Foundation. He began his career as a metro reporter at The Philadelphia ",["em","Inquirer"],", and his work as a political writer at the ",["em","Washington Monthly"],"."],["p",["strong","Reading List"],": Benjamin Wallace-Wells recommends Nicholas Lemann’s piece “",["a",{"href":"http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2000/01/31/the-redemption"},"The Redemption"],".”"],["p"]],"social":[],"url":"/contributors/benjamin-wallace-wells","image":{"id":"59097b7e019dfc3494ea36e3","modelName":"photo","collection":"photos","aspectRatios":{"master":{"width":600,"height":600,"format":"PNG","duration":null,"url":"https://cn-copilot-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/tny-services/production/2017/05/03/59097b7d019dfc3494ea36e2_wallace-wells-benjamin.png"}},"caption":"","altText":"Benjamin Wallace-Wells","credit":"","filename":"wallace-wells-benjamin.png","revision":4,"title":"wallace-wells-benjamin","notes":"_wordpress_id:3275705","variants":{}}}],"dek":"","displayMostPopular":true,"formatting":{},"hed":"Our Many Fears of Hurricane Harvey","id":"59a1adb521aafe4de666d93b","inlineEmbeds":{},"modifiedAt":"2017-08-28T21:59:01.711Z","photos":{"social":[{"id":"59a1be0fe90541416286a2ba","modelName":"photo","collection":"photos","aspectRatios":{"master":{"width":5181,"height":3091,"format":"JPEG","duration":null,"url":"https://cn-copilot-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/tny-services/production/2017/08/26/59a1be0fe90541416286a2b9_BWW-hurricane-harvey-TX.jpg"},"2:2":{"override":false,"height":3091,"width":3091,"modifications":{"crop":{"height":3091,"width":3091,"x":1045,"y":0}},"duration":null},"16:9":{"override":false,"height":2907,"width":5168,"modifications":{"crop":{"height":2907,"width":5168,"x":6.5,"y":0}},"duration":null},"4:3":{"override":false,"height":3090,"width":4120,"modifications":{"crop":{"height":3090,"width":4120,"x":530.5,"y":0}},"duration":null},"1:1":{"override":false,"height":3091,"width":3091,"modifications":{"crop":{"height":3091,"width":3091,"x":1045,"y":0}},"duration":null}},"caption":["div",["p","Jennifer Bryant looks over the debris from her family business destroyed by Hurricane Harvey on Saturday, in Katy, Texas."]],"altText":"","credit":"Photograph by David J. 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