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    <title data-rh="true">How Hurricane Harvey Became So Destructive - The New York Times</title><meta data-rh="true" itemprop="inLanguage" content="en-US"/><meta data-rh="true" name="robots" content="noarchive"/><meta data-rh="true" name="articleid" itemprop="identifier" content="100000005395104"/><meta data-rh="true" name="description" itemprop="description" content="Scientists say warm waters and stagnant winds in the upper atmosphere built a monster of a storm. 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style="text-align:center;height:100%;display:block"><div id="sponsor"></div></div></div><h1 class="Heading1-heading1--20o8k styles-heading1--2Ap5d styles-toneNews--29Vp_ elementStyles-heading1--UcIYs elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft Heading1-toneNews--1Qp-U" itemProp="headline"><span class="Heading1-headline--8Qzcc balance-text">How Hurricane Harvey Became So Destructive</span></h1><figure class="ResponsiveMedia-media--32g1o ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi ResponsiveMedia-sizeMedium--3hVlk styles-ledeMedia--1s9BI ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi" aria-label="media" role="group" itemProp="associatedMedia" itemID="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/29/us/29Climate2/29Climate2-articleLarge.jpg?quality=30&amp;auto=webp" itemType="http://schema.org/ImageObject"><div class="ResponsiveMedia-container--G2JS6 ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Image</span><img alt="" class="Image-image--2zb04" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/29/us/29Climate2/29Climate2-articleLarge.jpg?quality=30&amp;auto=webp" srcSet="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/29/us/29Climate2/29Climate2-articleLarge.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 600w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/29/us/29Climate2/29Climate2-jumbo.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 1024w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/29/us/29Climate2/29Climate2-popup.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 650w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/29/us/29Climate2/29Climate2-superJumbo.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 2048w" sizes="((min-width: 600px) and (max-width: 1004px)) 84vw, (min-width: 1005px) 60vw, 100vw"/></div><figcaption class="ResponsiveMedia-caption--1dUVu Media-caption--wlc0l ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi" itemProp="caption description"><span class="ResponsiveMedia-captionText--2WFdF Media-captionText--2e27a">Pedestrians tried to escape along Interstate 610 as Harvey flooded Houston on Sunday.</span><span class="ResponsiveMedia-credit--3F-q_ Media-credit--1ZFho" itemProp="copyrightHolder"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Credit</span><span>Alyssa Schukar for The New York Times</span></span></figcaption></figure><div class="styles-bylineTimestamp--2J2fe styles-toneNews--29Vp_"><div class="elementStyles-byline--33rWc styles-byline--Dn1Bu styles-toneNews--29Vp_"><div class="Byline-bylineGroup--2XIy_"><p class="">By<!-- --> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/by/lisa-friedman" class="Byline-bylineAuthor--d8i20 elementStyles-authors--voZdU">Lisa Friedman</a> and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/by/john-schwartz" class="Byline-bylineAuthor--d8i20 elementStyles-authors--voZdU">John Schwartz</a></p></div></div><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff elementStyles-timestamp--26VGL styles-timestamp--KJFCK" dateTime="2017-08-28" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 28">Aug. 28, 2017</time><div class="elementStyles-translationLinks--27EiR"><a class="elementStyles-translationLink--Ot2Yx" href="https://www.nytimes.com/es/2017/08/30/por-que-el-huracan-harvey-ha-sido-tan-devastador" data-version="es" title="Read in Spanish">Leer en español</a></div></div></header><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Scientists say the effects of Hurricane Harvey, which has been stalled over the Texas Gulf Coast since Friday and dumped more than 20 inches of rain in some areas, were worsened by a lethal confluence of meteorological events: warm water in the Gulf of Mexico that intensified the rainfall, and a lack of winds in the upper atmosphere that could have steered Harvey away from land.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Exacerbating the situation, said <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="http://www.marineweatherandclimate.com/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">Hal Needham</a>, a storm surge expert and founder of the private firm Marine Weather &amp; Climate in Galveston, Tex., was that the storm surge elevated Galveston Bay, blocking drainage of the rain that pummeled coastal and inland areas.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">“A two- or three-foot storm surge alone would not have been catastrophic,” Mr. Needham said. “It was all these ingredients coming together.”</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">And it’s not over.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Dennis Feltgen, a spokesman for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">National Hurricane Center</a> in Miami, said the driving rains would continue for another two or three days, pouring an additional 15 to 25 inches over parts of Southeast Texas. Some areas, he said, could see as much as 50 inches of rain.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">“This is unprecedented,” he said.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Yet it does have some parallels. <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="http://geography.uga.edu/directory/profile/shepherd-marshall/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">J. Marshall Shepherd</a>, director of the atmospheric sciences program at the University of Georgia, said Harvey is very much like Allison, a tropical storm that flooded Houston badly in 2001 because it lingered over the city and dumped prodigious amounts of rain.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">“In some ways, I think this event is going to far surpass what we saw in Tropical Storm Allison,” Dr. Shepherd said. The atmosphere is not helping to push it anywhere else. “The steering currents that would normally lift it out of that region aren’t there,” he said.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Hurricanes are essentially large weather engines fueled by the warm waters of the ocean below.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">The mind-boggling amount of rainfall during Harvey is a function of the storm sitting by the Gulf of Mexico and continuing to draw moisture directly from it. Because of the orientation of the storm, Dr. Shepherd said, “you’ve just got this stream of moisture firehosing into the Houston region,” as the moisture is constantly replenished by the gulf. “This could go down as the worst flood disaster in U.S. history.”</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Scientists are increasingly able to link some extreme weather events to climate change, but when it comes to hurricanes, many say there remain <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html?mcubz=0" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">a number of unknowns</a>. What is clear, though, is that rising global temperatures warm the oceans, which causes more water to evaporate into the atmosphere.</p><div class="elementStyles-interactivePromo--3IIKn elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft"><a class="elementStyles-interactivePromoLink--wOa3r" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/08/24/us/hurricane-harvey-texas.html" target="__blank"><div class="elementStyles-interactiveImageContainer--3Lg8e"><img alt="" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/30/insider/hurricane-harvey-texas-1503614573017/hurricane-harvey-texas-1503614573017-articleLarge-v21.gif"/></div><div class="elementStyles-interactiveInfo--1_bM9"><h2 class="elementStyles-interactiveHeadline--Ylb3s">Maps: Tracking Harvey’s Destructive Path Through Texas and Louisiana</h2><p class="elementStyles-interactiveSummary--2P3bI">Maps and animated satellite imagery show the scale and reach of the storm.</p><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff elementStyles-interactiveTimestamp--cL-ap" dateTime="2017-08-24" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 24">Aug. 24, 2017</time></div></a></div><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">The buildup of moisture in turn contributes to the global increase in extreme rainfall, <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://ncics.org/people/kenneth-kunkel/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">Kenneth Kunkel</a>, a researcher with the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, said.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Even without climate change as a factor, Dr. Kunkel said, oceans are normally warm this time of year. But, he pointed out, the Gulf of Mexico has been <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/03/a-sizzling-gulf-of-mexico-could-bring-more-spring-storms/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">warmer than average</a> lately, most likely feeding into the deluge.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Several scientists stressed that while the damage of Hurricane Harvey was unrelenting, it was not unexpected.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Forecasters were anticipating a very wet storm to park over Houston for an extended period. “This, honestly, is playing out, unfortunately, exactly as we thought it would several days ago,” Dr. Shepherd said.</p><figure class="VideoBlock-videoBlock--2Re96 ResponsiveMedia-media--32g1o ResponsiveMedia-sizeMedium--3hVlk ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi" aria-label="media" role="group" itemProp="associatedMedia" itemType="http://schema.org/VideoObject"><div class="ResponsiveMedia-container--G2JS6"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Video</span><div class="styles-spinnerOuter--maDnq" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><div class="styles-spinnerInner--uV-V4" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><div class="styles-loaderbase--2IdC2"><div class="styles-loaderspin--10Z4h"><div></div><div></div></div></div></div><div class="styles-children--38y7v"></div></div></div><figcaption class="Media-caption--wlc0l ResponsiveMedia-caption--1dUVu" itemProp="caption description"><span class="Media-captionText--2e27a ResponsiveMedia-captionText--2WFdF">Harvey, now a tropical storm, pummeled Houston and the surrounding region, bringing catastrophic flooding and killing at least five people.</span><span class="VideoBlock-timestampCreditWrapper--3w5qR"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Published On</span><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff Media-credit--1ZFho ResponsiveMedia-credit--3F-q_ VideoBlock-timestampWithCredit--2r-JN" dateTime="2017-08-27" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 27">Aug. 27, 2017</time><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Credit</span><span class="Media-credit--1ZFho ResponsiveMedia-credit--3F-q_ VideoBlock-creditWithTimestamp--1ar6P" itemProp="copyrightHolder">Image by David J. Phillip/Associated Press</span></span></figcaption></figure><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">He said he grew worried when he saw public statements of relief that the storm had been downgraded from Category 4 strength to a tropical storm. He said the change in technical terminology may have confused the public and led local officials to lose focus on the greater threat, a multiday rain event.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">“There was always a one-two punch with this particular storm, but we were always more concerned about the ‘two,’ the rainfall,” Dr. Shepherd said. “Once that subsided, people like me said, ‘O.K., we’re just getting started.’”</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Different models predict different aspects of storms. <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="http://ims.unc.edu/home/people/luettich/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">Rick Luettich</a> is director of the University of North Carolina’s Institute of Marine Sciences and an internationally recognized expert on storm surge, and a principal developer of the <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="http://adcirc.org/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3">ADCIRC</a> computer programs, which can be used to predict storm surge. For Harvey, Friday’s calculations suggested a surge of eight to 10 feet in the coastal areas, with as much as 12 feet in some of the shallow coastal estuaries.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">The water threat that is getting the most attention with Harvey, however, is the intense rainfall predicted as the storm lingers over the Houston area. With storms growing wetter thanks to climate change, Mr. Luettich and his collaborators are trying to add rainfall calculations to the coastal surge forecasting model.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">“People don’t care, if they got wet or got drowned, whether their water was salty or fresh,” he said.</p><div class="bottom-of-article"><div class="elementStyles-addendums--1S4tV elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft"></div><div class="elementStyles-extendedInformation--3NG2u elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft"><p>Henry Fountain contributed reporting.</p> <p><a href="https://twitter.com/nytclimate">Follow @NYTClimate on Twitter</a></p></div><div class="elementStyles-printInformation--2VtfI elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">A version of this article appears in print on <!-- -->, on Page <!-- -->A<!-- -->13<!-- --> of the New York edition<!-- --> with the headline: <!-- -->Warm Gulf Fuels the Rain and Gives It Nowhere to Go<span>. <a 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Rise</h2></div><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff RelatedCoverageNode-timestamp--lXko3" dateTime="2017-08-27" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 27">Aug. 27, 2017</time></div></div><div class="RelatedCoverageNode-imageContent--396NL"><figure class="" aria-label="media" role="group" itemProp="associatedMedia" itemID="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/28/us/28storm3/28storm3-thumbLarge-v2.jpg" itemType="http://schema.org/ImageObject"><div class=""><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Image</span><div class="LazyImage-imageContainer--26dUd"><img alt="In Houston, Anxiety and Frantic Rescues as Floodwaters Rise" class="Image-image--2zb04 LazyImage-lazyload--1mWsm" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/28/us/28storm3/28storm3-thumbLarge-v2.jpg" sizes="50vw" data-srcset="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/28/us/28storm3/28storm3-thumbLarge-v2.jpg"/></div></div><figcaption class="Media-caption--wlc0l" itemProp="caption 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    <script>window.__preloadedData = {"initialState":{"Article:QXJ0aWNsZTpueXQ6Ly9hcnRpY2xlL2U2ODYwZDRiLWNiMzEtNTU1My05OTZlLTA3YzM4OGY0Y2JkYQ==":{"id":"QXJ0aWNsZTpueXQ6Ly9hcnRpY2xlL2U2ODYwZDRiLWNiMzEtNTU1My05OTZlLTA3YzM4OGY0Y2JkYQ==","headline":{"type":"id","id":"$Article:QXJ0aWNsZTpueXQ6Ly9hcnRpY2xlL2U2ODYwZDRiLWNiMzEtNTU1My05OTZlLTA3YzM4OGY0Y2JkYQ==.headline","generated":true},"sourceId":"100000005395104","type":"article","typeOfMaterials":{"type":"json","json":["News"]},"url":"https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/28/climate/how-hurricane-harvey-became-so-destructive.html","__typename":"Article","collections":[{"type":"id","id":"LegacyCollection:TGVnYWN5Q29sbGVjdGlvbjpueXQ6Ly9sZWdhY3ljb2xsZWN0aW9uL2UzNjMwZTg4LTc4MDEtNTdiZS1hOWM1LTEyOGVmYWQ5MWRmMQ==","generated":false},{"type":"id","id":"LegacyCollection:TGVnYWN5Q29sbGVjdGlvbjpueXQ6Ly9sZWdhY3ljb2xsZWN0aW9uLzExZjcyYWI0LTdjZDAtNTQwYS05M2NjLWYzNWIzMmNkMDEzZA==","generated":false},{"type":"id","id":"LegacyCollection:TGVnYWN5Q29sbGVjdGlvbjpueXQ6Ly9sZWdhY3ljb2xsZWN0aW9uL2RiNjYxNjRiLWVhNWYtNTUyMS1hZGE0LTI4NGFjYmI1OWMyOQ==","generated":false},{"type":"id","id":"LegacyCollection:TGVnYWN5Q29sbGVjdGlvbjpueXQ6Ly9sZWdhY3ljb2xsZWN0aW9uLzAzNzM1ZjBhLWY5ZDEtNWM1Mi1iMmJjLTEzZjRkMzkzOTcyMQ==","generated":false},{"type":"id","id":"LegacyCollection:TGVnYWN5Q29sbGVjdGlvbjpueXQ6Ly9sZWdhY3ljb2xsZWN0aW9uLzE2NWJhMTc1LWQ3ODktNTNlOS1iM2ExLTVmMjY5OTU2YmRlMQ==","generated":false},{"type":"id","id":"LegacyCollection:TGVnYWN5Q29sbGVjdGlvbjpueXQ6Ly9sZWdhY3ljb2xsZWN0aW9uL2Y1MWJlNTQwLTdjYTAtNTQ0Ni05NTUxLTU4M2RiZWViODAxNA==","generated":false}],"summary":"Scientists say warm waters and stagnant winds in the upper atmosphere built a monster of a storm. 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