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    <title>US oil exports are about to spike after Hurricane Harvey - Business Insider</title>
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<h1>US oil exports are about to spike after Hurricane Harvey</h1>

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																		<li class="author-byline ks-author-byline"><a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/author/nick-cunningham">Nick Cunningham</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://oilprice.com/">OilPrice.com</a></li>
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	<span data-bi-format="date" rel="1506272460">Sep. 24, 2017,  1:01 PM</span>
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            <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<div>
  <p>
    <span class="KonaFilter image-container display-table float_right image on-image" data-post-image="">
      <img src="http://static3.businessinsider.com/image/59c5104e19d2f5a8188b4596-1778/2017-09-01t141232z3lynxnped802zrrtroptp4storm-harvey.jpg" alt="gas station hurricane harvey chevron texas" data-mce-source="Jonathan Bachman/Reuters" data-mce-caption="A gas station submerged under flood waters from Tropical Storm Harvey is seen in Rose City, Texas, U.S., on August 31, 2017."/>
      <span class="caption-source">
        <span class="caption">A
  gas station submerged under flood waters from Tropical Storm
  Harvey is seen in Rose City, Texas, U.S., on August 31,
  2017.</span>
        <span class="source">Jonathan
  Bachman/Reuters</span>
      </span>
    </span>
  </p>
  <p>
  The Gulf Coast was ravaged by Hurricane Harvey, and the effects
  are going to take time to wear off, but the situation has also
  made U.S. crude exports much more competitive.
</p>
  <p>
  Harvey knocked out more than 4 million barrels per day (mb/d) of
  refining capacity for a few days, but three weeks on from the
  storm, there is still some refining capacity offline. As of
  September 19, an estimated 15 of the 20 refineries affected in
  Texas and Louisiana were back to normal production, or close to
  normal production, <a href="https://ihs.newshq.businesswire.com/sites/ihs.newshq.businesswire.com/files/press_release/additional/Hurricane_Harvey_Overview_Report_September_19_2017.pdf" rel="nofollow">according to IHS Markit</a>. Another four were
  planning to restart operations.
</p>
  <p>
  But that does not mean that all is well. For example, the U.S.â
  largest refinery, the Motiva facility in Port Arthur, is still
  <a href="https://www.eenews.net/energywire/2017/09/21/stories/1060061295" rel="nofollow">producing below capacity</a>. Valeroâs Port Arthur
  refinery <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/19/fire-breaks-out-at-valeros-port-arthur-texas-refinery.html" rel="nofollow">caught fire</a> earlier this week, an example of
  the perils of restarting a major refinery. ExxonMobilâs Baytown
  complex has restarted some production but is also not back to
  full capacity.
</p>
  <p>
  The refinery disruptions have led to much smaller pool of refined
  products than would have otherwise been the case. That, in turn,
  has led to a buildup in crude stocks â the EIA reported another
  4.6 million barrel increase in crude inventories in
  mid-September, the third consecutive week of sizable increases.
</p>
  <p>
  But because global demand is still strong, the downstream
  bottleneck has led to a disconnect between the U.S. crude
  benchmark and its international counterpart. The discount for WTI
  relative to Brent is at its widest point in more than two years
  at nearly $6 per barrel, only slightly down from earlier this
  month. That makes sense â there is something of a surplus trapped
  within the U.S., while supplies are much tighter internationally.
</p>
  <p>
  That wide disparity between Brent and WTI probably wonât last
  because U.S. crude is now incredibly competitive, and will likely
  be snatched up by buyers around the globe. âThe export window is
  wide open,â Michael Wittner, global head of oil research at
  SociÃ©tÃ© GÃ©nÃ©rale, told <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/lower-u-s-oil-prices-are-a-shot-in-the-arm-for-crude-exports-1505986208" rel="nofollow">the Wall Street Journal</a>.
</p>
  <p>
  The cost of transport has to be factored in, a matter of a couple
  of dollars per barrel. But that spread looks wide enough to make
  U.S. crude worth the trouble. âGet to a $4 spread and you can
  take it anywhere in the world," R.T. Dukes, an oil expert with
  Wood Mackenzie, said in an interview with the WSJ. The WSJ said
  that Occidental Petroleum has seen an uptick in exports recently,
  inking new deals with buyers in South Korea, India and
  China.Â 
</p>
  <p>
  Exports were interrupted in the immediate aftermath of Harvey,
  <a href="https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&amp;s=WCREXUS2&amp;f=W" rel="nofollow">falling from 900,000 bpd</a> at the end of August
  to just 153,000 bpd in the first week of September. But exports
  have quickly ramped up as facilities have come back online â
  exports averaged 928,000 bpd in the week ending on September 15.
</p>
  <p>
  Some analyst see those figures going much higher. The highest
  weekly total for U.S. exports was only about 1.3 mb/d, a one-off
  occurrence back in May. But the Brent-WTI spread, widening to
  nearly $6 per barrel, could result in a temporary surge in
  exports. Stephen Wolfe, an analyst at oil trader Trafigura Group,
  told the WSJ that the U.S.â max export capacity is probably
  around 1.8 mb/d. âWeâre going to really test that number over the
  next few weeks, because we have excess barrels we need to move
  out,â Stephen Wolfe told the WSJ.
</p>
  <p>
    <span class="KonaFilter image-container display-table image on-image" data-post-image="">
      <img src="http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/59c50fdf25acc2e5008b490a-607/nick1.jpg" alt="US crude oil exports" data-mce-source="OilPrice.com"/>
      <span class="source-only source">OilPrice.com</span>
    </span>
  </p>
  <p>
  The spread will narrow as exports ramp up, but it has remained
  open for a few reasons. In addition to refinery outages in the
  U.S., which led to a buildup in U.S. crude, European refiners
  have ramped up to make up for the shortfall, which has actually
  added more upward pressure on Brent prices. Also, OPEC has
  <a href="http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-OPEC-Deal-Why-Iraqs-Words-Matter.html" rel="nofollow">improved compliance</a> in recent weeks, taking
  more barrels off of the market, a dynamic reflected in the Brent
  price. Storage is building up in the U.S., but it is declining
  elsewhere: temporary <a href="http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Can-Oil-Prices-Hit-60-In-2018.html" rel="nofollow">floating storage figures</a> are down, and
  Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-20/oil-traders-empty-key-crude-storage-hub-as-global-demand-booms?utm_content=commodities&amp;utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&amp;utm_source=twitter&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-commodities" rel="nofollow">reports</a> that the key storage hub in South
  Africa is al so seen stockpiles dwindle.
</p>
  <p>
  Still, it will take time for conditions in the U.S. compared to
  the rest of the world to normalize. Higher U.S. oil exports is
  one mechanism that will help level out these disparities.
</p>
</div>
            <p class="tagline">Get the latest Oil WTI price<a href="http://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=WTI"> here.</a></p><p class="tagline">Read the <a href="http://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Expect-A-Major-Leap-In-US-Oil-Exports.html">original article</a> on <a href="http://oilprice.com/">OilPrice.com</a>.  Copyright 2017.</p>            <div class="feed-footer-wrapper"><div class="feed-footer">

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