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    <title data-rh="true">The Relationship Between Hurricanes and Climate Change - The New York Times</title><meta data-rh="true" itemprop="inLanguage" content="en-US"/><meta data-rh="true" name="robots" content="noarchive"/><meta data-rh="true" name="articleid" itemprop="identifier" content="100000005392059"/><meta data-rh="true" name="description" itemprop="description" content="The links between hurricanes and climate change are not simple. Some things are known with growing certainty. Others, not so much."/><meta data-rh="true" name="byl" content="By John Schwartz"/><meta data-rh="true" name="thumbnail" itemprop="thumbnailUrl" content="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-thumbStandard.jpg"/><meta data-rh="true" name="news_keywords" content="Hurricanes,Climate Change,Global Warming,Katharine Hayhoe"/><meta data-rh="true" name="usageTerms" itemprop="usageTerms" content="http://www.nytimes.com/content/help/rights/sale/terms-of-sale.html"/><meta data-rh="true" name="pdate" content="20170825"/><meta data-rh="true" name="utime" content="20171222040431"/><meta data-rh="true" name="ptime" content="20170825121048"/><meta data-rh="true" property="og:url" content="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/><meta data-rh="true" property="og:type" content="article"/><meta data-rh="true" property="og:title" content="The Relationship Between Hurricanes and Climate Change"/><meta data-rh="true" property="og:image" content="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-facebookJumbo.jpg"/><meta data-rh="true" property="og:description" content="The links between hurricanes and climate change are not simple. Some things are known with growing certainty. Others, not so much."/><meta data-rh="true" property="twitter:url" content="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/><meta data-rh="true" property="twitter:title" content="The Relationship Between Hurricanes and Climate Change"/><meta data-rh="true" property="twitter:description" content="The links between hurricanes and climate change are not simple. Some things are known with growing certainty. Others, not so much."/><meta data-rh="true" property="twitter:image" content="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-videoSixteenByNineJumbo1600.jpg"/><meta data-rh="true" property="twitter:image:alt" content="Rising waters at Bob Hall Pier in Corpus Christi, Texas, as Hurricane Harvey approached on Friday."/><meta data-rh="true" property="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:section" itemprop="articleSection" content="U.S."/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:section-taxonomy-id" itemprop="articleSection" content="23FD6C8B-62D5-4CEA-A331-6C2A9A1223BE"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:author" content="http://www.nytimes.com/by/john-schwartz"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:tag" content="Hurricanes and Tropical Storms"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:tag" content="Global Warming"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:tag" content="Hayhoe, Katharine (1972- )"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:published" itemprop="datePublished" content="2017-08-25T16:10:48.000Z"/><meta data-rh="true" property="article:modified" itemprop="dateModified" content="2017-12-22T09:04:31.587Z"/><meta data-rh="true" name="CG" content="us"/><meta data-rh="true" name="SCG" content=""/><meta data-rh="true" name="CN" content=""/><meta data-rh="true" name="CT" content=""/><meta data-rh="true" name="PT" content="article"/><meta data-rh="true" name="PST" content="News"/><meta data-rh="true" name="genre" itemprop="genre" content="News"/><meta data-rh="true" name="msapplication-starturl" content="https://www.nytimes.com"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:android:url" content="nytimes://reader/id/100000005392059"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:android:package" content="com.nytimes.android"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:android:app_name" content="NYTimes"/><meta data-rh="true" name="twitter:app:name:googleplay" content="NYTimes"/><meta data-rh="true" name="twitter:app:id:googleplay" content="com.nytimes.android"/><meta data-rh="true" name="twitter:app:url:googleplay" content="nytimes://reader/id/100000005392059"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:iphone:url" content="nytimes://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:iphone:app_store_id" content="284862083"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:iphone:app_name" content="NYTimes"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:ipad:url" content="nytimes://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:ipad:app_store_id" content="357066198"/><meta data-rh="true" property="al:ipad:app_name" content="NYTimes"/><link data-rh="true" rel="canonical" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/><link data-rh="true" rel="alternate" href="android-app://com.nytimes.android/nytimes/reader/id/100000005392059"/><link data-rh="true" rel="alternate" type="application/json+oembed" href="https://www.nytimes.com/svc/oembed/json/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2017%2F08%2F25%2Fus%2Fhurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html" title="The Relationship Between Hurricanes and Climate Change"/><link data-rh="true" rel="alternate" media="only screen and (max-width: 640px)" href="https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/><link data-rh="true" rel="alternate" media="handheld" href="https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html"/>
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class="ButtonModal-container--3hzMP"><button aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false" aria-label="More sharing options" class="SectionBarShare-shareButton--2f1RP"><i class="SectionBarShare-shareIcon--2Rcfq SectionBarShare-shareMenu--2ndEi"></i></button></div></li><li class="SectionBarShare-shareItem--2tuw6"></li></ul></div></div></div><header class="styles-headerBasic--3czk2"><div id="sponsor-wrapper" class="ResponsiveAd-emptyAd--3yMTH"><div id="sponsor-slug" class="ResponsiveAd-sponsoredByAdSlug--11gFU"><p>Supported by</p></div><div class="ad sponsor-wrapper" style="text-align:center;height:100%;display:block"><div id="sponsor"></div></div></div><h1 class="Heading1-heading1--20o8k styles-heading1--2Ap5d styles-toneNews--29Vp_ elementStyles-heading1--UcIYs elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft Heading1-toneNews--1Qp-U" itemProp="headline"><span class="Heading1-headline--8Qzcc balance-text">The Relationship Between Hurricanes and Climate Change</span></h1><figure class="ResponsiveMedia-media--32g1o ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi ResponsiveMedia-sizeMedium--3hVlk styles-ledeMedia--1s9BI ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi" aria-label="media" role="group" itemProp="associatedMedia" itemID="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-articleLarge.jpg?quality=30&amp;auto=webp" itemType="http://schema.org/ImageObject"><div class="ResponsiveMedia-container--G2JS6 ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Image</span><img alt="" class="Image-image--2zb04" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-articleLarge.jpg?quality=30&amp;auto=webp" srcSet="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-articleLarge.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 600w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-jumbo.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 1024w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-popup.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 650w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26climatetexas-01/26climatetexas-01-superJumbo.jpg?quality=100&amp;auto=webp 2048w" sizes="((min-width: 600px) and (max-width: 1004px)) 84vw, (min-width: 1005px) 60vw, 100vw"/></div><figcaption class="ResponsiveMedia-caption--1dUVu Media-caption--wlc0l ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi" itemProp="caption description"><span class="ResponsiveMedia-captionText--2WFdF Media-captionText--2e27a">Rising waters at Bob Hall Pier in Corpus Christi, Texas, as Hurricane Harvey approached on Friday.</span><span class="ResponsiveMedia-credit--3F-q_ Media-credit--1ZFho" itemProp="copyrightHolder"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Credit</span><span>Courtney Sacco/Corpus Christi Caller-Times, via Associated Press</span></span></figcaption></figure><div class="styles-bylineTimestamp--2J2fe styles-toneNews--29Vp_"><div class="elementStyles-byline--33rWc styles-byline--Dn1Bu styles-toneNews--29Vp_"><div class="Byline-bylineGroup--2XIy_"><p class="">By<!-- --> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/by/john-schwartz" class="Byline-bylineAuthor--d8i20 elementStyles-authors--voZdU">John Schwartz</a></p></div></div><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff elementStyles-timestamp--26VGL styles-timestamp--KJFCK" dateTime="2017-08-25" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 25">Aug. 25, 2017</time></div></header><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">How much does Hurricane Harvey, or any particular storm, have to do with climate change?</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">The relationship between hurricanes and climate change is not simple. Some things are known with growing certainty. Others, not so much.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">The<a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/08/07/climate/document-Draft-of-the-Climate-Science-Special-Report.html" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3"> most recent draft</a> of<a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/07/climate/climate-change-drastic-warming-trump.html?mcubz=0" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3"> a sweeping climate science</a> report pulled together by 13 federal agencies as part of the National Climate Assessment suggested that the science linking hurricanes to climate change was still emerging. Looking back through the history of storms, “the trend signal has not yet had time to rise above the background variability of natural processes,” the report states.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Temperatures have been rising, and theory and computer modeling suggest an increase in storm intensity in a warmer world, “and the models generally show an increase in the number of very intense” storms.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">And while the science of attributing weather events to climate change is advancing, “studies of individual events will typically contain caveats,” the report stated.</p><figure class="VideoBlock-videoBlock--2Re96 ResponsiveMedia-media--32g1o ResponsiveMedia-sizeMedium--3hVlk ResponsiveMedia-toneNews--pMwMi" aria-label="media" role="group" itemProp="associatedMedia" itemType="http://schema.org/VideoObject"><div class="ResponsiveMedia-container--G2JS6"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Video</span><div class="styles-spinnerOuter--maDnq" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><div class="styles-spinnerInner--uV-V4" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><div class="styles-loaderbase--2IdC2"><div class="styles-loaderspin--10Z4h"><div></div><div></div></div></div></div><div class="styles-children--38y7v"></div></div></div><figcaption class="Media-caption--wlc0l ResponsiveMedia-caption--1dUVu" itemProp="caption description"><span class="Media-captionText--2e27a ResponsiveMedia-captionText--2WFdF">Wind speed, types of damage and power loss all factor into how a hurricane category is ranked.</span><span class="VideoBlock-timestampCreditWrapper--3w5qR"><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Published On</span><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff Media-credit--1ZFho ResponsiveMedia-credit--3F-q_ VideoBlock-timestampWithCredit--2r-JN" dateTime="2017-08-25" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 25">Aug. 25, 2017</time><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Credit</span><span class="Media-credit--1ZFho ResponsiveMedia-credit--3F-q_ VideoBlock-creditWithTimestamp--1ar6P" itemProp="copyrightHolder">Image by Tamir Kalifa for The New York Times</span></span></figcaption></figure><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft"><a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="http://katharinehayhoe.com/wp2016/" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3"> Katharine Hayhoe</a>, a climate scientist at Texas Tech University and an author of the report, said even if global warming does not change the number of storms — and, she noted, there could even be fewer hurricanes over all — tropical storms and hurricanes do gain energy from warm water, so the unusually warm water that has accompanied climate change “can have a role in intensifying a storm that already exists.”</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">More moisture in the atmosphere, she said, means the amount and intensity of rain associated with hurricanes and other storms is growing. While people might think of high winds and storm surge as the risks of hurricanes, she said, “freshwater flooding is potentially a much greater problem than the storm surge.”</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">That does not mean storm surge is any less a threat than before.<a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://atmo.tamu.edu/people/faculty/desslerandrew.html" title="" class="styles-link--1Tap3"> Andrew Dessler</a>, a professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&amp;M University, said that the most solid link between climate change and storms is that “storm surge is made worse by sea level rise, which we are certain humans have contributed to.”</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">Dr. Hayhoe noted that scientists are not saying that hurricanes are necessarily caused by climate change, but are being affected by them.</p><p class="Paragraph-paragraph--2eXNE elementStyles-paragraph--3EIcW elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft">“We care about a changing climate because it exacerbates the natural risks and hazards that we already face,” she said. “People always want to know is it climate change or is it not? The answer is it’s in between.”</p><div class="bottom-of-article"><div class="elementStyles-addendums--1S4tV elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft"></div><div role="toolbar" aria-label="Social Media Share buttons, Save button, and Comments Panel with current comment count" class="SectionBarShare-shareMenu--2ndEi SectionBarShare-toneNews--1a-Gj SectionBarShare-bottom--3ONdV"><ul class="SectionBarShare-shareNetworks--2k4ev"><li class="SectionBarShare-shareItem--2tuw6"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/dialog/feed?app_id=9869919170&amp;link=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2017%2F08%2F25%2Fus%2Fhurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html&amp;smid=fb-share&amp;name=The%20Relationship%20Between%20Hurricanes%20and%20Climate%20Change&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2F" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" aria-label="Share on Facebook"><i aria-label="Share on Facebook" class="SectionBarShare-shareIcon--2Rcfq SectionBarShare-facebook--K5FwP"></i></a></li><li class="SectionBarShare-shareItem--2tuw6"><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2017%2F08%2F25%2Fus%2Fhurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html&amp;text=The%20Relationship%20Between%20Hurricanes%20and%20Climate%20Change" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" aria-label="Share on Twitter"><i aria-label="Share on Twitter" class="SectionBarShare-shareIcon--2Rcfq SectionBarShare-twitter--1duan"></i></a></li><li class="SectionBarShare-shareItem--2tuw6"><a href="mailto:?subject=NYTimes.com%3A%20The%20Relationship%20Between%20Hurricanes%20and%20Climate%20Change&amp;body=From%20The%20New%20York%20Times%3A%0A%0AThe%20Relationship%20Between%20Hurricanes%20and%20Climate%20Change%0A%0AThe%20links%20between%20hurricanes%20and%20climate%20change%20are%20not%20simple.%20Some%20things%20are%20known%20with%20growing%20certainty.%20Others%2C%20not%20so%20much.%0A%0Ahttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2017%2F08%2F25%2Fus%2Fhurricane-harvey-climate-change-texas.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" aria-label="Email"><i aria-label="Email" class="SectionBarShare-shareIcon--2Rcfq SectionBarShare-email--2FAK7"></i></a></li><li class="SectionBarShare-shareItem--2tuw6"><div class="ButtonModal-container--3hzMP"><button aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false" aria-label="More sharing options" class="SectionBarShare-shareButton--2f1RP"><i class="SectionBarShare-shareIcon--2Rcfq SectionBarShare-shareMenu--2ndEi"></i></button></div></li></ul></div></div><div class="elementStyles-relatedcoverage--2yOLg elementStyles-toneNews--sRTft"><header class="elementStyles-sectionHeader--1SHX7"><h3 class="elementStyles-sectionHeading--1XYke">Related Coverage</h3></header><div class="elementStyles-sectionBody--1PxOi"><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey.html" class="RelatedCoverageNode-relatedcoveragenode--1pfao RelatedCoverageNode-firstNode--1maOa RelatedCoverageNode-lastNode--3BBUh"><div class="RelatedCoverageNode-contentContainer--2Lq-E"><div class="RelatedCoverageNode-textContent--1GnR9"><p class="Label-label--28y05 RelatedCoverageNode-kicker--1Txv3"></p><div class="RelatedCoverageNode-textAlignment--HYYAy"><div><h2 class="Heading2-heading2--2UY6W RelatedCoverageNode-header--2WQ1P">Hurricane Harvey: Storm Roars Ashore Near Corpus Christi, Tex.</h2></div><time class="Timestamp-timestamp--3FJff RelatedCoverageNode-timestamp--lXko3" dateTime="2017-08-25" itemProp="datePublished" content="2017 - 08 - 25">Aug. 25, 2017</time></div></div><div class="RelatedCoverageNode-imageContent--396NL"><figure class="" aria-label="media" role="group" itemProp="associatedMedia" itemID="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26live-storm-promo/26live-storm-promo-thumbLarge.jpg" itemType="http://schema.org/ImageObject"><div class=""><span class="accessibility-visuallyHidden--OUeHR">Image</span><div class="LazyImage-imageContainer--26dUd"><img alt="Hurricane Harvey: Storm Roars Ashore Near Corpus Christi, Tex." class="Image-image--2zb04 LazyImage-lazyload--1mWsm" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26live-storm-promo/26live-storm-promo-thumbLarge.jpg" sizes="50vw" data-srcset="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/08/26/us/26live-storm-promo/26live-storm-promo-thumbLarge.jpg"/></div></div><figcaption class="Media-caption--wlc0l" itemProp="caption description"></figcaption></figure></div></div><div class="RelatedCoverageNode-border--1A4sF RelatedCoverageNode-lastNode--3BBUh"></div></a></div></div><div id="newsletter-module" class="Newsletter-wrap--1WbCb Newsletter-toneNews--2GfMc"><div class="Newsletter-innerWrap--11kfa"><div class="Newsletter-newsletterMeta--3E1rg Newsletter-control--35VjP"><h2 class="Newsletter-headline--3-pfJ">Sign up for California Today</h2><p class="Newsletter-newsletterSummary--2p6Sz">The news and stories that matter to Californians (and anyone else interested in the state), delivered weekday mornings.</p><p class="Newsletter-sampleLink--3JsUw"><a class="SampleLink-sample--3O-sh" target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/newsletters/sample/california-today">SEE SAMPLE</a></p></div><div><div class="Newsletter-formWrapper--17AoX" id="newsletter-promo" data-newsletter-productcode="CA" data-newsletter-producttitle="Sign up for California Today"><div name="regilite" class="Newsletter-form--3GD5z" method="post" autoComplete="off"><div class="Newsletter-inputControl--2r2PB"><div><p class="Newsletter-error--AMLQD Newsletter-hidden--1yomn">Please verify you’re not a robot by clicking the box.</p><p class="Newsletter-error--AMLQD Newsletter-hidden--1yomn">Invalid email address. 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much does Hurricane Harvey, or any particular storm, have to do with climate change?","formats":[]},"$Article:QXJ0aWNsZTpueXQ6Ly9hcnRpY2xlLzc0MWI0NzFmLWY1OTAtNTYxNi1hNjkzLTc4Yzc3YzMxODJjNA==.sprinkledBody.content.2":{"__typename":"ParagraphBlock","textAlign":"DEFAULT","content":[{"type":"id","id":"$Article:QXJ0aWNsZTpueXQ6Ly9hcnRpY2xlLzc0MWI0NzFmLWY1OTAtNTYxNi1hNjkzLTc4Yzc3YzMxODJjNA==.sprinkledBody.content.2.content.0","generated":true}]},"$Article:QXJ0aWNsZTpueXQ6Ly9hcnRpY2xlLzc0MWI0NzFmLWY1OTAtNTYxNi1hNjkzLTc4Yzc3YzMxODJjNA==.sprinkledBody.content.2.content.0":{"__typename":"TextInline","text":"The relationship between hurricanes and climate change is not simple. 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