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href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=Open+Sans:300italic,400italic,600italic,700italic,800italic,400,300,600,700,800&subset=latin,latin-ext" as="style" onload="this.onload=null;this.rel='stylesheet'" /><link rel="preload" href="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/cache/min/1/214def9d58d8a32e05103e98a8475acb.css" as="style" onload="this.onload=null;this.rel='stylesheet'" data-minify="1" /><script type='text/javascript' src='https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/cache/busting/1/wp-includes/js/jquery/jquery-1.12.4.js'></script><script async src="//pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/js/adsbygoogle.js"></script><script async src="//pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/js/adsbygoogle.js"></script><script async src="//pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/js/adsbygoogle.js"></script><script async src="//pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/js/adsbygoogle.js"></script><script async src="//pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/js/adsbygoogle.js"></script><script src="https://my.hellobar.com/67e632f047073774d5ccdda2be4202614b957e13.js" type="text/javascript" async="async"></script><script src="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/cache/min/1/36e9f83f62c6c83ea7baf8f90911bae4.js" data-minify="1" defer></script> <meta charset="UTF-8" /><meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"><link rel="pingback" href="https://texasstormchasers.com/xmlrpc.php" /><!--[if lt IE 9]> <script src="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/themes/Extra/scripts/ext/html5.js" type="text/javascript" defer></script> <![endif]--> <script type="text/javascript">document.documentElement.className = 'js';</script> <script>var et_site_url='https://texasstormchasers.com';var et_post_id='56537';function et_core_page_resource_fallback(a,b){"undefined"===typeof b&&(b=a.sheet.cssRules&&0===a.sheet.cssRules.length);b&&(a.onerror=null,a.onload=null,a.href?a.href=et_site_url+"/?et_core_page_resource="+a.id+et_post_id:a.src&&(a.src=et_site_url+"/?et_core_page_resource="+a.id+et_post_id))}</script><title>Rapidly Intensifying Harvey expected to make landfall as Category 3+ Hurricane Tomorrow! &bull; Texas Storm Chasers</title><meta name="twitter:card" content="summary"><meta name="twitter:title" content="Rapidly Intensifying Harvey expected to make landfall as Category 3+ Hurricane Tomorrow!"><meta name="twitter:description" content="Harvey has rapidly organized this morning and is just below hurricane strength. Based on atmospheric conditions and the system approaching a warm eddy associated with the very warm Gulf stream - rapid intensification is likely. This means that the intensity forecast for Harvey has been significantly increased. Harvey is now expected to make landfall as a major hurricane along the South Texas and the Coastal Bend coast - riviling the intnesity of Ike. We're going to have to see a fairly fast ramp-up in coastal evacuations now that Harvey is forecast to make landfall with at least category 3 intensity."><meta name="twitter:site" content="@txstormchasers"><style>@font-face{font-family:"sw-icon-font";src:url(https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/social-warfare/fonts/sw-icon-font.eot?ver=2.3.5);src:url("https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/social-warfare/fonts/sw-icon-font.eot?ver=2.3.5#iefix") format("embedded-opentype"),url(https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/social-warfare/fonts/sw-icon-font.woff?ver=2.3.5) format("woff"),url(https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/social-warfare/fonts/sw-icon-font.ttf?ver=2.3.5) format("truetype"),url("https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/social-warfare/fonts/sw-icon-font.svg?ver=2.3.5#1445203416") format("svg");font-weight:400;font-style:normal}</style><link rel="canonical" href="https://texasstormchasers.com/2017/08/24/rapidly-intensifying-harvey-expected-make-landfall-category-3-hurricane-tomorrow/" /><meta property="og:locale" content="en_US" /><meta property="og:type" content="article" /><meta property="og:title" content="Rapidly Intensifying Harvey expected to make landfall as Category 3+ Hurricane Tomorrow! &bull; Texas Storm Chasers" /><meta property="og:description" content="Harvey has rapidly organized this morning and is just below hurricane strength. Based on atmospheric conditions and the system approaching a warm eddy associated with the very warm Gulf stream &#8211; rapid intensification is likely. This means that the intensity forecast for Harvey has been significantly increased. 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Inquiries</a></li></ul></li></ul><div id="et-mobile-navigation"> <span class="show-menu"><div class="show-menu-button"> <span></span> <span></span> <span></span></div><p>Select Page</p> </span><nav></nav></div></div></div></div></div></header><div class="container"><div class="et_pb_extra_row etad header_below"><style>.Under_Header{width:300px;height:250px}@media(min-width:340px){.Under_Header{width:336px;height:280px}}@media(min-width:750px){.Under_Header{width:728px;height:90px}}@media(min-width:1000px){.Under_Header{width:970px;height:250px}}</style> <ins class="adsbygoogle Under_Header"
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data-ad-slot="1452361944"></ins> <script>(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});</script> </div></div><div id="main-content"><div class="container"><div id="content-area" class="clearfix"><div class="et_pb_extra_column_main"><article id="post-56537" class="module single-post-module post-56537 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-blog category-tropical-weather tag-corpus-christi tag-flooding tag-harvey tag-hurricane tag-texas et-doesnt-have-format-content et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"><div class="post-header"><h1 class="entry-title">Rapidly Intensifying Harvey expected to make landfall as Category 3+ Hurricane Tomorrow!</h1><div class="post-meta vcard"><p>Posted by <a href="https://texasstormchasers.com/author/dpreimer91/" class="url fn" title="Posts by David Reimer" rel="author">David Reimer</a> | <span class="updated">August 24, 2017 10:19 am</span> | <a href="https://texasstormchasers.com/category/blog/" rel="tag">Blog</a>, <a href="https://texasstormchasers.com/category/tropical-weather/" rel="tag">Tropical Weather</a> | <a class="comments-link" href="https://texasstormchasers.com/2017/08/24/rapidly-intensifying-harvey-expected-make-landfall-category-3-hurricane-tomorrow/#comments">0 <span title="comment count" class="comment-bubble post-meta-icon"></span></a> | <span class="rating-stars" title="Rating: 0.00"><span class="post-meta-icon rating-star rating-star-empty rating-star-1"></span> <span class="post-meta-icon rating-star rating-star-empty rating-star-2"></span> <span class="post-meta-icon rating-star rating-star-empty rating-star-3"></span> <span class="post-meta-icon rating-star rating-star-empty rating-star-4"></span> <span class="post-meta-icon rating-star rating-star-empty rating-star-5"></span> </span></p></div></div><div class="post-wrap"><div class="post-content entry-content"><p>Harvey has rapidly organized this morning and is just below hurricane strength. Based on atmospheric conditions and the system approaching a warm eddy associated with the very warm Gulf stream &#8211; rapid intensification is likely. This means that the intensity forecast for Harvey has been significantly increased. Harvey is now expected to make landfall as a major hurricane along the South Texas and the Coastal Bend coast &#8211; riviling the intnesity of Ike. We&#8217;re going to have to see a fairly fast ramp-up in coastal evacuations now that Harvey is forecast to make landfall with at least category 3 intensity. A life-threatening storm surge of 7 to 10 feet is expected in the northeast quadrant of the eye wall along with sustained winds over 115 MPH. This rapid intensification trend does not change the fact Harvey will likely stall over South/South-Central Texas this weekend into early next week. Widespread rain totals over 10 to 20 inches with localized amounts to 30 inches are expected &#8211; resulting in a widespread, devastating flood event in South Texas, the Coastal Plains, and Southeast Texas. Rain totals will have a sharp cut-off west of Harvey.</p><h4>Key Messages:</h4><h4>1. Harvey has intensified quickly this morning, and is now forecast<br /> to be a major hurricane at landfall, bringing life-threatening storm<br /> surge, rainfall, and wind hazards to portions of the Texas coast.<br /> Preparations to protect life and property should be completed by<br /> tonight, as tropical-storm-force winds will first arrive in the<br /> hurricane and storm surge warning areas on Friday.</h4><h4>2. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for much of the Texas coast.<br /> Life-threatening storm surge flooding could reach heights of 6 to 10<br /> feet above ground level at the coast between the north entrance of<br /> the Padre Island National Seashore and Sargent. For a depiction of<br /> areas at risk, see the Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic at<br /> hurricanes.gov.</h4><h4>3. Life-threatening flooding is expected across much of the Texas<br /> coast from heavy rainfall of 12 to 20 inches, with isolated amounts<br /> as high as 30 inches, from Friday through early next week. Please<br /> refer to products from your local National Weather Service office<br /> and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information on the<br /> flooding hazard.</h4><h4>4. The Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map is available on the NHC<br /> website. This product depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario &#8211;<br /> the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being<br /> exceeded at each individual location. This map best represents<br /> the flooding potential in those locations within the watch and<br /> warning areas.</h4><h4><a href="https://i2.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png?ssl=1"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56538" src="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/lazy-images/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="897" height="736" data-recalc-dims="1" data-lazy-src="https://i2.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png?resize=897%2C736&#038;ssl=1"><noscript><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56538" src="https://i2.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png?resize=897%2C736&#038;ssl=1" alt="" width="897" height="736" data-recalc-dims="1" /></noscript></a></h4><p>Tropical Storm Harvey Advisory Number 16<br /> NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017<br /> 1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 24 2017</p><h3>&#8230;HARVEY QUICKLY STRENGTHENING AND FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR<br /> HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST&#8230;<br /> &#8230;LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED&#8230;</h3><p>&nbsp;</p><p>SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT&#8230;1500 UTC&#8230;INFORMATION<br /> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br /> LOCATION&#8230;24.0N 93.3W<br /> ABOUT 365 MI&#8230;590 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS<br /> ABOUT 360 MI&#8230;580 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS<br /> MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS&#8230;65 MPH&#8230;100 KM/H<br /> PRESENT MOVEMENT&#8230;NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH&#8230;17 KM/H<br /> MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE&#8230;982 MB&#8230;29.00 INCHES</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>WATCHES AND WARNINGS<br /> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br /> CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:</p><p>None.</p><p>SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:</p><h4>A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for&#8230;<br /> * Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass Texas</h4><h4>A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for&#8230;<br /> * South of Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande<br /> * North of San Luis Pass to High Island Texas</h4><h4>A Hurricane Warning is in effect for&#8230;<br /> * Port Mansfield to Matagorda Texas</h4><h4>A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for&#8230;<br /> * North of Matagorda to High Island Texas<br /> * South of Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande</h4><h4>A Hurricane Watch is in effect for&#8230;<br /> * South of Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande</h4><h4>A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for&#8230;<br /> * South of the Mouth of the Rio Grande to Boca de Catan Mexico</h4><p>A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening<br /> inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,<br /> during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a<br /> depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather<br /> Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at<br /> hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons<br /> located within these areas should take all necessary actions to<br /> protect life and property from rising water and the potential for<br /> other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other<br /> instructions from local officials.</p><p>A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected<br /> somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued<br /> 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-<br /> force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or<br /> dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be<br /> rushed to completion.</p><p>A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are<br /> expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.</p><p>A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-<br /> threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the<br /> coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.</p><p>A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible<br /> within the watch area.</p><div class='code-block code-block-1' style='margin: 8px auto; text-align: center; clear: both;'><ins class="adsbygoogle"
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data-ad-slot="2577255943"></ins> <script>(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});</script></div><p>A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are<br /> possible within the watch area.</p><p>In addition, interests in southwestern Louisiana should continue to<br /> monitor the progress of this system.</p><p>For storm information specific to your area in the United<br /> States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please<br /> monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service<br /> forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside<br /> the United States, please monitor products issued by your national<br /> meteorological service.</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK<br /> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br /> At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was<br /> located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near<br /> latitude 24.0 North, longitude 93.3 West. Harvey is moving toward<br /> the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the<br /> northwest is expected later today, and Harvey&#8217;s forward speed is<br /> forecast to slow down during the next couple of days. On the<br /> forecast track, Harvey will approach the middle Texas coast on<br /> Friday and make landfall Friday night or early Saturday, and then<br /> stall near the middle Texas coast through the weekend.</p><h4>Data from the Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that maximum sustained<br /> winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts.<br /> Rapid strengthening is forecast, and Harvey is expected to become a<br /> major hurricane before it reaches the middle Texas coast.</h4><p>Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)<br /> from the center.</p><p>The minimum central pressure based on reconnaissance data is 982 mb<br /> (29.00 inches).</p><p>&nbsp;</p><h3>HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND<br /> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<br /> RAINFALL:</h3><p><a href="https://i1.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930WPCQPF_sm.gif?ssl=1"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56539" src="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/lazy-images/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="895" height="716" data-recalc-dims="1" data-lazy-src="https://i1.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930WPCQPF_sm.gif?resize=895%2C716&#038;ssl=1"><noscript><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56539" src="https://i1.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930WPCQPF_sm.gif?resize=895%2C716&#038;ssl=1" alt="" width="895" height="716" data-recalc-dims="1" /></noscript></a></p><p>Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of<br /> 12 to 20 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 30 inches over the<br /> middle and upper Texas coast through next Wednesday. During the same<br /> time period Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations<br /> of 5 to 12 inches in far south Texas and the Texas Hill Country to<br /> central Louisiana, with accumulations of less than 5 inches<br /> extending into other parts of Texas and the lower Mississippi<br /> Valley. Rainfall from Harvey may cause life-threatening flooding.</p><h3>STORM SURGE:</h3><p><a href="https://i2.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/2017-08-24_10-08-23.jpg?ssl=1"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56541" src="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/lazy-images/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="1077" height="791" data-recalc-dims="1" data-lazy-src="https://i2.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/2017-08-24_10-08-23.jpg?resize=1077%2C791&#038;ssl=1"><noscript><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56541" src="https://i2.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/2017-08-24_10-08-23.jpg?resize=1077%2C791&#038;ssl=1" alt="" width="1077" height="791" data-recalc-dims="1" /></noscript></a></p><p>The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the<br /> tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by<br /> rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. <strong>The water is</strong><br /> <strong>expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak</strong><br /> <strong>surge occurs at the time of high tide&#8230;</strong></p><p><strong>N Entrance Padre Island Natl Seashore to Sargent&#8230;6 to 10 ft</strong><br /> <strong>Sargent to San Luis Pass&#8230;5 to 7 ft</strong><br /> <strong>Port Mansfield to N Entrance Padre Island Natl Seashore&#8230;5 to 7 ft</strong><br /> <strong>San Luis Pass to High Island&#8230;2 to 4 ft</strong><br /> <strong>Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield&#8230;2 to 4 ft</strong><br /> <strong>High Island to Morgan City&#8230;1 to 3 ft</strong></p><p>The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to<br /> the northeast of the landfall location, where the surge will be<br /> accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding<br /> depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and<br /> can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to<br /> your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather<br /> Service forecast office.</p><p>&nbsp;</p><h3>WIND:</h3><p><a href="https://i0.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png?ssl=1"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56540" src="https://texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/lazy-images/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="897" height="736" data-recalc-dims="1" data-lazy-src="https://i0.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png?resize=897%2C736&#038;ssl=1"><noscript><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-56540" src="https://i0.wp.com/texasstormchasers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/092930_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png?resize=897%2C736&#038;ssl=1" alt="" width="897" height="736" data-recalc-dims="1" /></noscript></a></p><p>Hurricane conditions are likely within the hurricane warning<br /> area late Friday or Friday night, with tropical storm conditions<br /> expected to first reach the coast in the hurricane warning area<br /> Friday.</p><p>SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are likely to affect the Texas,<br /> Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts by Friday. 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That's where we'll be posting our 2018 storm chasing adventures, and wh�<a href="https://twitter.com/i/web/status/963216907317886976" target="_blank">twitter.com/i/web/status/9…</a>lf<div class="post-meta"> 3 hours ago • <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=963216907317886976" target="_blank">Reply</a> • <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=963216907317886976" target="_blank">Retweet</a> • <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=963216907317886976"target="_blank">Favorite</a></div></div></li><li> <a href="https://twitter.com/TxStormChasers/status/962801419005906945" class="et-extra-icon et-extra-icon-twitter et-extra-icon-background-none et-extra-social-icon social-icon"></a><div class="post-tweet"> RT <a href="https://twitter.com/JasonWhitely" target="_blank">@JasonWhitely</a>: Five months after the hurricane hit Puerto Rico... <a href="https://twitter.com/abc/status/962794890601123840" target="_blank">twitter.com/abc/status/962…</a><div 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href="https://texasstormchasers.com/2018/02/11/900am-sunday-morning-update-small-patch-wintry-mix-heading-towards-dfw-metroplex/">9:00am Sunday Morning Update &#8211; Small Patch of Wintry Mix Heading Towards the DFW Metroplex</a></li><li> <a href="https://texasstormchasers.com/2018/02/10/cold-front-arrives-chance-wintry-precip-overnight-central-west-central-texas/">Cold Front Arrives &#8211; Chance of Wintry Precip Overnight for Central &#038; West Central Texas</a></li><li> <a href="https://texasstormchasers.com/2018/02/08/90-texas-now-abnormally-dry-drought-118-days-since-rain-amarillo/">90% of Texas now abnormally dry or in drought. 118 days since rain in Amarillo</a></li><li> <a href="https://texasstormchasers.com/2018/02/06/icy-bridges-possible-evening-north-weatherford-bonham-line-north-texas/">Icy Bridges Possible by the evening north of a Weatherford to Bonham Line in North Texas</a></li></ul></div><div id="archives-2" class="et_pb_widget widget_archive"><h4 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