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        <h1 class="node-title">Climate Change Worsened the Impact of Hurricane Harvey</h1>
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<div class="field field-name-field-teaser field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Sea level rise attributable to climate change caused the storm surge to be much higher than it would have been just decades ago.</div></div></div>    </div>
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              <em>By</em> <em><a href="/authors/michael-mann">Michael Mann</a></em>
             /               <span class="field field-name-field-sources field-type-node-reference field-label-hidden"><span class="field-items"><span class="field-item even"><a href="http://ecowatch.org/">EcoWatch</a></span></span></span>          </div>
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		<!-- field_date_value : 2017-08-29T22:00:00field_date_ts -12hrs : 1504011600field_date_gmt : August 29, 2017, 1:00 PM GMT-->August 29, 2017, 1:00 PM GMT		</em>
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          <div class="story-image-source"><p><span class='story_image_caption'>Texas National Guardsmen assist residents affected by flooding caused by Hurricane Harvey onto a military vehicle in Houston on August 27, 2017 </span><br /><cite>Photo Credit: Army National Guard / Lt. Zachary West</cite></p></div>
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<!-- HTTPs replaced --> <p>What can we say about the role of <a href="https://www.ecowatch.com/climate-change/">climate change</a> in the <a href="https://www.ecowatch.com/hurricane-harvey-flooding-2478623393.html">unprecedented disaster</a> that is unfolding in Houston with <a href="https://www.facebook.com/hashtag/harvey?source=feed_text&amp;story_id=1515449771844553" target="_blank">Hurricane Harvey</a>?</p><p>There are certain climate change-related factors that we can, with great confidence, say worsened the flooding.</p><p><a href="//www.insurancejournal.com/%E2%80%A6/sou%E2%80%A6/2017/05/31/452704.htm" target="_blank">Sea level rise attributable to climate change</a> (some is due to coastal subsidence due to human disturbance e.g. oil drilling) is more than half a foot over the past few decades.</p><div class='in_content_ad_container ad_3'><div class='proper-ad-unit'><div id='proper-ad-alternet_content_1'> <script> propertag.cmd.push(function() { proper_display('alternet_content_1'); }); </script> </div></div></div><p>That means that the storm surge was a half foot higher than it would have been just decades ago, meaning far more <a href="https://www.ecowatch.com/tag/flooding">flooding</a> and destruction.</p><p><img alt="" src="//www.alternet.org/sites/default/files/980x_3.png" style="height: 421px; width: 600px;" typeof="foaf:Image" /></p><p>In addition to that, sea surface temperatures in the region have risen about 0.5C (close to 1F) over the past few decades, from roughly 30C (86F) to 30.5C (87F), which contributed to the very warm sea surface temperatures (30.5-31 C or 87-88F). There is a simple thermodynamic relationship known as the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clausius%E2%80%93Clapeyron_relation" target="_blank">Clausius-Clapeyron equation</a> that tells us there is a roughly 3 percent increase in average atmospheric moisture content for each 0.5C (~1F) of warming.</p><p>Sea surface temperatures in the area where Harvey intensified were 0.5-1C warmer than current-day average temperatures, which translates to 1-1.5C warmer than the "average" temperatures a few decades ago. That means 3-5 percent more moisture in the atmosphere.</p><p><img alt="" src="//www.alternet.org/sites/default/files/980x_28.jpg" style="height: 781px; width: 505px;" typeof="foaf:Image" /></p><div><div>That large amount of moisture meant the potential for much greater rainfalls and greater flooding.</div></div><p>The combination of coastal flooding and heavy rainfall is responsible for the devastating flooding that Houston is experiencing.</p><p>Not only are the surface waters of the Gulf unusually warm right now, but there is a deep layer of warm water that Harvey was able to feed upon when it intensified at near record pace as it neared the coast. Human-caused warming is penetrating down into the ocean warming not just the surface but creating deeper layers of warm water in the Gulf and elsewhere.</p><p><img alt="" src="//www.alternet.org/sites/default/files/980x-1_10.jpg" style="height: 337px; width: 600px;" typeof="foaf:Image" /></p><p>So Harvey was almost certainly more intense than it would have been in the absence of human- caused warming, which means stronger winds, more wind damage and a larger storm surge (as an example of how this works, <a href="//www.pnas.org/content/112/41/12610.full" target="_blank">we have shown</a> that climate change has led to a dramatic increase in storm surge risk in New York City, making devastating events like <a href="https://www.facebook.com/hashtag/sandy?source=feed_text&amp;story_id=1515449771844553" target="_blank">Superstorm Sandy</a> more likely.</p><p>Finally, the more tenuous but potentially relevant climate factors: Part of what has made Harvey such a devastating storm is the way it has stalled right near the coast, continuing to pummel Houston and surrounding regions with a seemingly endless deluge which will likely top out at nearly 4 feet of rainfall over a several days-long period before it is done.</p><div class='in_content_ad_container ad_13'><div class='proper-ad-unit'><div id='proper-ad-alternet_content_2'> <script> propertag.cmd.push(function() { proper_display('alternet_content_2'); }); </script> </div></div></div><p>The stalling is due to very weak prevailing winds which are failing to steer the storm off to sea, allowing it to spin around and wobble back and forth like a top with no direction. This pattern, in turn, is associated with a greatly expanded subtropical high pressure system over much of the U.S. right now, with the jet stream pushed well to the north. This pattern of subtropical expansion is predicted in model simulations of human-caused climate change.</p><p><img alt="" src="//www.alternet.org/sites/default/files/980x-1_10.jpg" style="height: 337px; width: 600px;" typeof="foaf:Image" /></p><p>More tenuous, but possibly relevant still, is the fact that very persistent, nearly "stationary" summer weather patterns of this sort, where weather anomalies (both high pressure dry hot regions and low-pressure stormy/rainy regions) stay locked in place for many days at a time, appears to be favored by human-caused climate change. We recently published on <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/srep45242" target="_blank">this phenomenon</a>:</p><p>In conclusion, while we cannot say climate change "caused" hurricane Harvey (that is an ill-posed question), we can say that it exacerbate several characteristics of the storm in a way that greatly increased the risk of damage and loss of life.</p><p>Climate change worsened the impact of Hurricane Harvey.</p><p> </p><p> </p>     
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                  <div class="author-bio"> <!--smart_paging_filter--><!--smart_paging_autop_filter--><p><a href="http://www.michaelmann.net/" target="_blank">Michael Mann</a> is Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science at Pennsylvania State University and author of <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Hockey-Stick-Climate-Wars-Dispatches/dp/0231152558/?tag=alternorg08-20" target="_blank">The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars</a>, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Dire-Predictions-2nd-Understanding-Climate/dp/1465433643/?tag=alternorg08-20" target="_blank">Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change</a>, and in 2016, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Madhouse-Effect-Threatening-Destroying-Politics/dp/0231177860/?tag=alternorg08-20" target="_blank">The Madhouse Effect</a>, with <em>The Washington Post</em> editorial cartoonist Tom Toles. Michael was recognized with other Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change authors for their contribution to the IPCC's 2007 Nobel Peace Prize. Follow him on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/MichaelEMann">@MichaelEMann</a>.</p> </div>              </div>
    	
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                <div class='pubdate'><h3><span class="field field-name-field-date field-type-date field-label-above"><span class="field-label">Displayed Publishing Date:&nbsp;</span><span class="field-items"><span class="field-item even"><span class="date-display-single" property="dc:date" datatype="xsd:dateTime" content="2018-02-12T06:15:00-08:00">Mon, 02/12/2018 - 06:15</span></span></span></span></h3></div>
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    <li><div id="altfrontedition__teaser node-1088624" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_horizontal clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/rights-favorite-new-intellectual-has-some-truly-pitiable-ideas-about-masculinity" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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        <h2 class="news--politics frontpage_dedup"><a href="/news-amp-politics/rights-favorite-new-intellectual-has-some-truly-pitiable-ideas-about-masculinity">The Right&#039;s Favorite New Intellectual Has Some Truly Pitiable Ideas About Masculinity</a></h2>
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                    <div class='author'><h3><a href="/authors/jacob-bacharach">Jacob Bacharach</a> / <span class="field field-name-field-sources field-type-node-reference field-label-hidden"><span class="field-items"><span class="field-item even"><a href="//alternet.org">AlterNet</a></span></span></span></h3></div>
                <div class='pubdate'><h3><span class="field field-name-field-date field-type-date field-label-above"><span class="field-label">Displayed Publishing Date:&nbsp;</span><span class="field-items"><span class="field-item even"><span class="date-display-single" property="dc:date" datatype="xsd:dateTime" content="2018-02-13T12:13:00-08:00">Tue, 02/13/2018 - 12:13</span></span></span></span></h3></div>
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  <div class="header"><span class='word1'>Today's </span><span class='word2'>Top </span><span class='word3'>Stories</span></div>

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    <ol><li><div id="node-1088624" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/rights-favorite-new-intellectual-has-some-truly-pitiable-ideas-about-masculinity" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/rights-favorite-new-intellectual-has-some-truly-pitiable-ideas-about-masculinity">The Right&#039;s Favorite New Intellectual Has Some Truly Pitiable Ideas About Masculinity</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088711" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/next-big-storm-rock-puerto-rico-suicide" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/next-big-storm-rock-puerto-rico-suicide">The Next Big Storm to Rock Puerto Rico: Suicide</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088544" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/economy/can-we-avoid-another-financial-crisis" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/economy/can-we-avoid-another-financial-crisis">Can We Avoid Another Financial Crisis?</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088729" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/christian-author-goes-down-flames-defending-trumps-spiritual-voyage" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/christian-author-goes-down-flames-defending-trumps-spiritual-voyage">Christian Author Goes Down In Flames Defending Trump&#039;s &#039;Spiritual Voyage&#039;</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088728" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/right-wing/trump-trolls-smear-kehinde-wiley" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/right-wing/trump-trolls-smear-kehinde-wiley">Pro-Trump Trolls Are Coordinating a Vicious Smear Campaign Against Obama&#039;s Portrait Artist</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088725" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/growing-domestic-terror-threat-trump-refuses-address" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/growing-domestic-terror-threat-trump-refuses-address">The Growing Domestic Terror Threat Trump Refuses to Address</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088733" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/donald-trump-infrastructure-scam" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/donald-trump-infrastructure-scam">Paul Krugman: Trump&#039;s Infrastructure Plan Was Always a Scam</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088689" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/obamas-portrait-depicts-what-we-have-lost" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/obamas-portrait-depicts-what-we-have-lost">The Unveiling of the Obama Portraits Depicts What We Have Lost

</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088717" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/conservative-pundit-says-white-house-unsafe-women" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/conservative-pundit-says-white-house-unsafe-women">Conservative Pundit S.E. Cupp Says the White House Is Unsafe for Women</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088721" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/omarosa-says-mike-pence-scary-believes-hes-speaking-jesus" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/omarosa-says-mike-pence-scary-believes-hes-speaking-jesus">Omarosa Says Mike Pence Is &#039;Scary,&#039; Believes He&#039;s Speaking for Jesus</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088612" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/local-peace-economy/congestion-pricing-good-reducing-traffic-or-it-just-another-big-price-gouge" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/local-peace-economy/congestion-pricing-good-reducing-traffic-or-it-just-another-big-price-gouge">Is &#039;Congestion Pricing&#039; Good at Reducing Traffic, or Is It Just Another Big Price Gouge?</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088568" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/pentagon-accused-corruption" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/pentagon-accused-corruption">Pentagon Watchdog Calls Out Two Commands for Financial Corruption  
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<li><div id="node-1088630" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/computerized-criminal-behavior-predictions-are-no-more-effective-untrained-humans" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/computerized-criminal-behavior-predictions-are-no-more-effective-untrained-humans">Computerized Criminal Behavior Predictions Are No More Effective Than Untrained Humans: Report</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088718" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/conservative-trying-use-metoo-movement-ban-pornography" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/conservative-trying-use-metoo-movement-ban-pornography">This Conservative Is Trying to Use the #MeToo Movement to Ban Pornography</a></h2>
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<li><div id="node-1088446" class="node node-story view-mode-altfrontedition_teaser_top_stories clearfix" about="/news-amp-politics/trump-year-one" typeof="sioc:Item foaf:Document">
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              <h2 class="node-title"><a href="/news-amp-politics/progressives-working-unseat-corporate-dems-nationwide">Embracing Bold Platforms, Progressives Working to Unseat Corporate Dems Nationwide</a></h2>
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