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<div class="wf-td hgroup"><h1 class="h3-size entry-title">The Long and Short Term View On Oil</h1></div><div class="wf-td"><div class="assistive-text">You are here:</div><ol class="breadcrumbs text-normal" xmlns:v="http://rdf.data-vocabulary.org/#"><li typeof="v:Breadcrumb"><a rel="v:url" property="v:title" href="http://www.sharptrader.com/" title="">Home</a></li><li typeof="v:Breadcrumb"><a rel="v:url" property="v:title" href="http://www.sharptrader.com/category/fundamentals/">Fundamentals</a></li><li class="current">The Long and Short Term View On Oil</li></ol></div>
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<div class="article-top-bar transparent-bg"><div class="wf-wrap"><div class="wf-container-top"><div class="entry-meta"><a href="http://www.sharptrader.com/2017/08/25/" title="11:45 am" class="data-link" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date updated" datetime="2017-08-25T11:45:21+00:00">August 25, 2017</time></a><span class="category-link"><a href="http://www.sharptrader.com/category/fundamentals/">Fundamentals</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="http://www.sharptrader.com/author/a-murphy/" title="View all posts by Adrienne Murphy – Chief Market Analyst" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Adrienne Murphy – Chief Market Analyst</span></a></div><div class="navigation-inner"><div class="single-navigation-wrap"><a class="prev-post" href="http://www.sharptrader.com/jackson-hole-causes-choppy-markets/" rel="next"></a><a class="next-post" href="http://www.sharptrader.com/autochartist-report-forex-eur-25-08-2017/" rel="prev"></a></div></div></div></div></div>

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<article id="post-74337" class="post-74337 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail category-fundamentals tag-brent-oil tag-crude-oil tag-gasoline tag-hurricane-harvey tag-oil tag-oil-spread tag-rigs tag-west-texas-intermediate tag-wti description-off">
<a href="http://sharptrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/oil-1.jpg" class="alignnone rollover rollover-zoom dt-single-mfp-popup dt-mfp-item mfp-image" title="" data-dt-img-description=""><img class="preload-me" src="http://sharptrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/oil-1.jpg" width="900" height="600" title="oil" alt="" /></a><div class="addtoany_share_save_container addtoany_content addtoany_content_top"><div class="a2a_kit a2a_kit_size_16 addtoany_list" data-a2a-url="http://www.sharptrader.com/long-short-term-view-oil/" data-a2a-title="The Long and Short Term View On Oil"><a class="a2a_button_facebook" href="https://www.addtoany.com/add_to/facebook?linkurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sharptrader.com%2Flong-short-term-view-oil%2F&amp;linkname=The%20Long%20and%20Short%20Term%20View%20On%20Oil" title="Facebook" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"></a><a class="a2a_button_twitter" href="https://www.addtoany.com/add_to/twitter?linkurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sharptrader.com%2Flong-short-term-view-oil%2F&amp;linkname=The%20Long%20and%20Short%20Term%20View%20On%20Oil" title="Twitter" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"></a><a class="a2a_button_google_plus" href="https://www.addtoany.com/add_to/google_plus?linkurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sharptrader.com%2Flong-short-term-view-oil%2F&amp;linkname=The%20Long%20and%20Short%20Term%20View%20On%20Oil" title="Google+" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"></a><a class="a2a_dd addtoany_share_save addtoany_share" href="https://www.addtoany.com/share"><img src="http://www.sharptrader.com/wp-content/plugins/lazy-load/images/1x1.trans.gif" data-lazy-src="https://static.addtoany.com/buttons/share_save_171_16.png" alt="Share"><noscript><img src="https://static.addtoany.com/buttons/share_save_171_16.png" alt="Share"></noscript></a></div></div><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Short Term View</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">As Hurricane Harvey closes in on the Texas coast oil and gasoline prices are rising. The natural disaster is steering towards the key US energy production terrain.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">A huge flooding event is set to hit the region either late Friday or early Saturday morning and is bracing to become a major hurricane before it hits the middle Texas coast.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Disruptions to Texan refineries would have a major impact on the international price of oil, since the region has become a big player in crude oil and other refined products in recent years.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Not only does the storm threaten to slow production, with many refiners closed already, it could also damage refinery infrastructure.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Gasoline has added a stunning amount over the past week, trading at a high of $1.738 today. Crude oil, West Texas Intermediate, has gained 0.86% so far today. If we look at the international benchmark, Brent oil, you will see a 0.92% increase, with a high of $52.56.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Long Term View</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Oil traders have been wrestling with an imbalance lately. While US crude oil inventories have been falling consistently over the past eight weeks, hitting the lowest level since the beginning of 2016, and additional rigs to boost output has almost paused. Meanwhile, summer demand has come in stronger than anticipated.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">These factors would be traditionally bullish for oil prices. However, the spread between US crude and Brent has widened, meaning US oil producers are getting less per barrel than those in let’s say, the North Sea.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The spread measures the difference between two big crude markets. The growing distance between the two prices shows that investors expect that US shale output will continue to expand. Forecasts suggest that US shale production will meet 75% of global demand next year.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The increase in spread and the discounted price of US crude oil allows producers more scope to transport the commodity overseas, as the devaluation compared with Brent oil, covers the costs of transportation and storage costs.</p>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><a href="http://www.sharptrader.com/trading-tools/economic-calendar/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Click Here to Check out Today&#8217;s News Announcements on our Economic Calendar</a></strong></p>
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